Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/08, 02:30

Prediction: CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sol de America de Formosa

Team pages: CA Sarmiento de la Banda · Sol de America de Formosa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

CA Sarmiento de la Banda1.33

Sol de America de Formosa0.72

1X2

51% 30% 19%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda Draw Sol de America de Formosa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA Sarmiento de la Banda 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWDD

Sol de America de Formosa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

CA Sarmiento de la Banda 3–1–2 Sol de America de Formosa (6 last)

CA Sarmiento de la Banda2-0Sol de America de Formosa
Sol de America de Formosa1-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Sol de America de Formosa1-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
CA Sarmiento de la Banda2-1Sol de America de Formosa
CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0Sol de America de Formosa
Sol de America de Formosa1-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1556 · Sol de America de Formosa 1499

	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	Draw	Sol de America de Formosa
Our model	50%	31%	19%
Market	51%	29%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda (rating 1556 vs 1499).
H2H favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	Sol de America de Formosa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.5	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.7	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.10

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:32 +8’	1.75	3.10	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 3–1–2 Sol de America de Formosa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	2-0 HT 2-0	Sol de America de Formosa
05/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	Sol de America de Formosa	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Sarmiento de la Banda
13/07/25 Argentina Torneo A	Sol de America de Formosa	1-1 HT 1-0	CA Sarmiento de la Banda
11/05/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	2-1 HT 0-1	Sol de America de Formosa
15/09/24 Argentina Torneo A	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	1-0 HT 1-0	Sol de America de Formosa
02/06/24 Argentina Torneo A	Sol de America de Formosa	1-0 HT 1-0	CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Sol de America de Formosa	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
3	Defensores de Belgrano VR	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
4	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
4	Sportivo Belgrano	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
6	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
8	CA Bartolome Mitre	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
9	CA Douglas Haig	2	0	1	1	1	4	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	Sol de America de Formosa
CA Bartolome Mitre	1-1 D	0-0 D
Tucuman Central	1-1 D	1-0 W
San Martin Formosa	2-0 W	1-2 L
Defensores Puerto Vilelas	0-3 L	1-2 L
Juventud Antoniana	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sarmiento de Resistencia	1-0 W	1-2 L
Boca Unidos	3-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA Sarmiento de la Banda (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

WWWWWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
26/07	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
12/07	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/07	Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
28/06	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
13/06	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
07/06	Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
31/05	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
25/05	Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-0	8	4	W
17/05	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	9	5	W

Sol de America de Formosa

WLDLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
26/07	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
12/07	Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/07	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/06	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
21/06	Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
14/06	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
07/06	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
31/05	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sol de America de Formosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (51%). Probabilities: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 51%, draw 30%, Sol de America de Formosa 19%.

How many goals are expected in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model expects 2.05 goals (CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.33 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.