Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/08, 01:45
Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Team pages: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.22
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy0.84
1X2
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Draw
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
4–1–1
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
(6 last)
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-1Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1-0CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1-2CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1-0Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1-1Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-0Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1499 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1504
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Draw | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.6 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 4–1–1 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 16/11/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 09/11/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 17/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sol de America de Formosa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | CA Douglas Haig | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Belgrano | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Escobar FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | Club Sanjustino Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/07 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (44%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 24%.
How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
The model expects 2.05 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.22 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0.84), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.