Football · Argentina Torneo A · 16/08, 20:30

Prediction: Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado

Team pages: Club Villa Mitre · CA Alvarado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.67Total

Club Villa Mitre0.98

CA Alvarado0.69

1X2

41% 34% 25%

Club Villa Mitre Draw CA Alvarado

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Club Villa Mitre 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWDWDL

CA Alvarado 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Club Villa Mitre 1–4–1 CA Alvarado (6 last)

Club Villa Mitre1-0CA Alvarado
CA Alvarado1-1Club Villa Mitre
CA Alvarado1-1Club Villa Mitre
Club Villa Mitre1-1CA Alvarado
CA Alvarado2-2Club Villa Mitre
CA Alvarado1-0Club Villa Mitre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Villa Mitre 1540 · CA Alvarado 1565

	Club Villa Mitre	Draw	CA Alvarado
Our model	40%	36%	24%
Market	42%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.67 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Villa Mitre	CA Alvarado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.98

Under 1.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:45 +5’	2.15	2.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Villa Mitre 1–4–1 CA Alvarado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	Club Villa Mitre	1-0 HT 1-0	CA Alvarado
26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Villa Mitre
04/03/19 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Villa Mitre
08/11/18 Argentina Torneo A	Club Villa Mitre	1-1 HT 1-1	CA Alvarado
19/09/18 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	2-2 HT 1-1	Club Villa Mitre
12/02/18 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Villa Mitre

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olimpo B Blanca	3	2	1	0	3	0	7
2	Cipolletti	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
3	CA Alvarado	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
5	Club Villa Mitre	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
6	Kimberley Mar del Plata	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Juventud Antoniana	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
8	CDA Monte Maiz	3	0	0	3	1	4	0
9	Huracan Las Heras	3	0	0	3	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Villa Mitre	CA Alvarado
Olimpo B Blanca	0-2 L	2-0 W
Sol de Mayo	3-3 D	2-0 W
Guillermo Brown	3-0 W	0-0 D
Santamarina Tandil	2-0 W	0-0 D
Germinal de Rawson	0-0 D	5-0 W
Club Circulo Deportivo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Villa Mitre

DDWWDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
08/08	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
26/07	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	2-1	3-3	4	6	D
12/07	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
05/07	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
28/06	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
20/06	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
14/06	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	16	8	D
31/05	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

CA Alvarado

WDWDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
08/08	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
11/07	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/07	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	4-0	5-0	4	2	W
28/06	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
20/06	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	8	8	W
14/06	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
07/06	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
31/05	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
24/05	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Villa Mitre win (41%). Probabilities: Club Villa Mitre 41%, draw 34%, CA Alvarado 25%.

How many goals are expected in Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado?

The model expects 1.67 goals (Club Villa Mitre 0.98 · CA Alvarado 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.