Football · Argentina Torneo A · 30/08, 20:00

Prediction: Kimberley Mar del Plata vs CA Alvarado

Team pages: Kimberley Mar del Plata · CA Alvarado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.73Total

Kimberley Mar del Plata0.93

CA Alvarado0.81

1X2

36% 35% 29%

Kimberley Mar del Plata Draw CA Alvarado

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Kimberley Mar del Plata 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDWLWL

CA Alvarado 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWWDD

Head-to-head

Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–2–0 CA Alvarado (2 last)

Kimberley Mar del Plata2-2CA Alvarado
CA Alvarado0-0Kimberley Mar del Plata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1520 · CA Alvarado 1553

	Kimberley Mar del Plata	Draw	CA Alvarado
Our model	35%	36%	29%
Market	37%	33%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kimberley Mar del Plata	CA Alvarado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.73

2 (0)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.95

Under 1.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:13 +5’	2.45	2.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–2–0 CA Alvarado

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	2-2 HT 1-1	CA Alvarado
11/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	0-0 HT 0-0	Kimberley Mar del Plata

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olimpo B Blanca	5	3	2	0	5	1	11
2	CA Alvarado	4	2	2	0	4	1	8
3	Cipolletti	5	2	2	1	6	6	8
4	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
5	Kimberley Mar del Plata	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
6	Club Villa Mitre	5	1	3	1	2	3	6
7	Huracan Las Heras	4	1	0	3	1	3	3
8	CDA Monte Maiz	5	0	2	3	3	6	2
9	Juventud Antoniana	4	0	2	2	0	3	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kimberley Mar del Plata	CA Alvarado
CDA Monte Maiz	1-0 W	1-1 D
Club Circulo Deportivo	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sol de Mayo	2-1 W	2-0 W
Santamarina Tandil	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kimberley Mar del Plata

LDDWWDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
16/08	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-1	13	7	W
13/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
03/08	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	9	0	W
24/07	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
05/07	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
28/06	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
20/06	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
14/06	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
07/06	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

CA Alvarado

WDWLWDWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
16/08	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
12/08	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
08/08	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
11/07	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/07	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	4-0	5-0	4	3	W
28/06	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
20/06	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	8	8	W
14/06	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
07/06	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs CA Alvarado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kimberley Mar del Plata win (36%). Probabilities: Kimberley Mar del Plata 36%, draw 35%, CA Alvarado 29%.

How many goals are expected in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs CA Alvarado?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.93 · CA Alvarado 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs CA Alvarado?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.