Football · Argentina Torneo A · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Team pages: Sportivo Las Parejas · Independiente Chivilcoy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Sportivo Las Parejas1.31
Independiente Chivilcoy0.56
1X2
Sportivo Las Parejas
Draw
Independiente Chivilcoy
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Las Parejas
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Independiente Chivilcoy
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Las Parejas
3–1–2
Independiente Chivilcoy
(6 last)
- Independiente Chivilcoy1-1Sportivo Las Parejas
- Sportivo Las Parejas1-0Independiente Chivilcoy
- Independiente Chivilcoy1-0Sportivo Las Parejas
- Sportivo Las Parejas0-1Independiente Chivilcoy
- Sportivo Las Parejas2-1Independiente Chivilcoy
- Independiente Chivilcoy2-4Sportivo Las Parejas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Las Parejas 1493 · Independiente Chivilcoy 1436
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Draw | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 31% | 15% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Las Parejas (rating 1493 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Sportivo Las Parejas: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Las Parejas 3–1–2 Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
| 05/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 04/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Escobar FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Boca Unidos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Las Parejas | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Las Parejas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Las Parejas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | CA Timbuense Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Las Parejas win (55%). Probabilities: Sportivo Las Parejas 55%, draw 30%, Independiente Chivilcoy 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Sportivo Las Parejas 1.31 · Independiente Chivilcoy 0.56), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.