Football · Argentina Torneo A · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson
Team pages: Sol de Mayo · Germinal de Rawson
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Sol de Mayo1.72
Germinal de Rawson0.91
1X2
Sol de Mayo
Draw
Germinal de Rawson
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sol de Mayo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Germinal de Rawson
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sol de Mayo
1–2–3
Germinal de Rawson
(6 last)
- Germinal de Rawson1-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo1-1Germinal de Rawson
- Germinal de Rawson1-2Sol de Mayo
- Germinal de Rawson3-1Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo1-1Germinal de Rawson
- Germinal de Rawson3-0Sol de Mayo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de Mayo 1467 · Germinal de Rawson 1484
| Sol de Mayo | Draw | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Germinal de Rawson: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de Mayo | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/11/78% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de Mayo 1–2–3 Germinal de Rawson
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 22/03/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Germinal de Rawson |
| 24/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sol de Mayo |
| 13/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Sol de Mayo |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Germinal de Rawson |
| 16/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sol de Mayo |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germinal de Rawson | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Deportivo Rincon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | San Martin de Mendoza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FADEP Mendoza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | CA Costa Brava | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Sol de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Santamarina Tandil | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sol de Mayo | Germinal de Rawson |
|---|---|---|
| Santamarina Tandil | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Club Villa Mitre | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Guillermo Brown | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Alvarado | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sol de Mayo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Germinal de Rawson
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de Mayo win (55%). Probabilities: Sol de Mayo 55%, draw 28%, Germinal de Rawson 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Sol de Mayo 1.72 · Germinal de Rawson 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.