Football · Argentina Torneo A · 30/08, 20:00

Prediction: Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon

Team pages: Germinal de Rawson · Deportivo Rincon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Germinal de Rawson1.13
Deportivo Rincon0.89
1X2
40% 32% 28%
Germinal de Rawson Draw Deportivo Rincon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Germinal de Rawson 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWDWLD
Deportivo Rincon 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWWDLW
Head-to-head
Germinal de Rawson 1–2–2 Deportivo Rincon (5 last)
  • Deportivo Rincon2-0Germinal de Rawson
  • Germinal de Rawson0-3Deportivo Rincon
  • Germinal de Rawson0-0Deportivo Rincon
  • Deportivo Rincon2-2Germinal de Rawson
  • Germinal de Rawson2-0Deportivo Rincon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Germinal de Rawson 1482 · Deportivo Rincon 1505
Germinal de RawsonDrawDeportivo Rincon
Our model40%33%27%
Market41%31%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportivo Rincon: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Germinal de RawsonDeportivo Rincon
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.20.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 51.7 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.83.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Germinal de Rawson 122 Deportivo Rincon

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/06/25
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon2-0
HT 1-0
Germinal de Rawson
20/04/25
Argentina Torneo A
Germinal de Rawson0-3
HT 0-1
Deportivo Rincon
14/07/24
Argentina Torneo A
Germinal de Rawson0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Rincon
15/05/24
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon2-2
HT 0-1
Germinal de Rawson
04/09/16
Argentina Torneo B
Germinal de Rawson2-0Deportivo Rincon

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin de Mendoza 5320 6311
2 Deportivo Rincon 5311 7310
3 CA Costa Brava 5230 539
4 Germinal de Rawson 5221 848
5 FADEP Mendoza 5212 337
6 Guillermo Brown 5203 356
7 Sol de Mayo 5203 586
8 Club Circulo Deportivo 5122 125
9 Juventud Unida Universitario 5113 354
10 Santamarina Tandil 5104 383

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGerminal de RawsonDeportivo Rincon
San Martin de Mendoza 0-0 D 0-1 L
Sol de Mayo 0-1 L 4-2 W
CA Costa Brava 1-1 D 1-0 W
Juventud Unida Universitario 2-1 W 1-0 W
Guillermo Brown 0-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Rincon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Germinal de Rawson

DWLLLWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 62 D
16/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 97 L
12/08 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 5-1 W
08/08 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 34 D
02/08 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-1 41 W
26/07 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 77 L
12/07 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 77 L
05/07 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-4 0-5 43 L
28/06 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 44 W
14/06 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 18 D

Deportivo Rincon

LLLLWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 W
16/08 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 42 L
12/08 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 D
08/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 4-2 17 W
02/08 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 W
25/07 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 44 W
12/07 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 00 L
05/07 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 03 L
27/06 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 87 L
21/06 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Germinal de Rawson win (40%). Probabilities: Germinal de Rawson 40%, draw 32%, Deportivo Rincon 28%.

How many goals are expected in Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Germinal de Rawson 1.13 · Deportivo Rincon 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.