Football · Argentina Torneo A · 30/08, 23:00

Prediction: Santamarina Tandil vs Club Circulo Deportivo

Team pages: Santamarina Tandil · Club Circulo Deportivo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.73Total

Santamarina Tandil1.07

Club Circulo Deportivo0.65

1X2

45% 33% 22%

Santamarina Tandil Draw Club Circulo Deportivo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Santamarina Tandil 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLWL

Club Circulo Deportivo 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLWDDL

Head-to-head

Santamarina Tandil 3–2–1 Club Circulo Deportivo (6 last)

Club Circulo Deportivo0-0Santamarina Tandil
Santamarina Tandil4-0Club Circulo Deportivo
Club Circulo Deportivo1-0Santamarina Tandil
Santamarina Tandil2-0Club Circulo Deportivo
Club Circulo Deportivo2-2Santamarina Tandil
Club Circulo Deportivo1-3Santamarina Tandil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santamarina Tandil 1448 · Club Circulo Deportivo 1469

	Santamarina Tandil	Draw	Club Circulo Deportivo
Our model	44%	35%	21%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santamarina Tandil: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santamarina Tandil	Club Circulo Deportivo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X2.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +10’	1.95	2.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santamarina Tandil 3–2–1 Club Circulo Deportivo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	Club Circulo Deportivo	0-0 HT 0-0	Santamarina Tandil
11/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	Santamarina Tandil	4-0 HT 2-0	Club Circulo Deportivo
26/07/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Circulo Deportivo	1-0 HT 0-0	Santamarina Tandil
24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A	Santamarina Tandil	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Circulo Deportivo
19/03/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Circulo Deportivo	2-2 HT 0-2	Santamarina Tandil
07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A	Club Circulo Deportivo	1-3 HT 1-2	Santamarina Tandil

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin de Mendoza	5	3	2	0	6	3	11
2	Deportivo Rincon	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
3	CA Costa Brava	5	2	3	0	5	3	9
4	Germinal de Rawson	5	2	2	1	8	4	8
5	FADEP Mendoza	5	2	1	2	3	3	7
6	Guillermo Brown	5	2	0	3	3	5	6
7	Sol de Mayo	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
8	Club Circulo Deportivo	5	1	2	2	1	2	5
9	Juventud Unida Universitario	5	1	1	3	3	5	4
10	Santamarina Tandil	5	1	0	4	3	8	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santamarina Tandil	Club Circulo Deportivo
Guillermo Brown	0-1 L	1-0 W
FADEP Mendoza	2-0 W	0-1 L
Sol de Mayo	0-1 L	3-1 W
Olimpo B Blanca	0-2 L	1-1 D
CA Alvarado	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Circulo Deportivo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santamarina Tandil

DLLDLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
17/08	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	10	6	W
12/08	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-5	–	–	L
08/08	San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
02/08	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
26/07	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
11/07	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
28/06	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/06	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
14/06	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Club Circulo Deportivo

LDLWDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
16/08	Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
12/08	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
02/08	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
24/07	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
12/07	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
05/07	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
28/06	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
20/06	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santamarina Tandil vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santamarina Tandil win (45%). Probabilities: Santamarina Tandil 45%, draw 33%, Club Circulo Deportivo 22%.

How many goals are expected in Santamarina Tandil vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Santamarina Tandil 1.07 · Club Circulo Deportivo 0.65), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santamarina Tandil vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.