Football · Argentina Torneo A · 02/08, 19:00
Prediction: Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina Tandil
Team pages: Sol de Mayo · Santamarina Tandil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Sol de Mayo1.53
Santamarina Tandil0.88
1X2
Sol de Mayo
Draw
Santamarina Tandil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sol de Mayo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Santamarina Tandil
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sol de Mayo
3–1–2
Santamarina Tandil
(6 last)
- Sol de Mayo3-2Santamarina Tandil
- Santamarina Tandil0-2Sol de Mayo
- Santamarina Tandil2-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo0-0Santamarina Tandil
- Santamarina Tandil0-1Sol de Mayo
- Santamarina Tandil5-0Sol de Mayo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de Mayo 1469 · Santamarina Tandil 1433
| Sol de Mayo | Draw | Santamarina Tandil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sol de Mayo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de Mayo | Santamarina Tandil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/22/67% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de Mayo 3–1–2 Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 28/03/26 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sol de Mayo |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 06/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 04/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Sol de Mayo |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin de Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Germinal de Rawson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santamarina Tandil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Costa Brava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sol de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Rincon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FADEP Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guillermo Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sol de Mayo | Santamarina Tandil |
|---|---|---|
| Club Villa Mitre | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Guillermo Brown | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Alvarado | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina Tandil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de Mayo win (51%). Probabilities: Sol de Mayo 51%, draw 29%, Santamarina Tandil 20%.
How many goals are expected in Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina Tandil?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Sol de Mayo 1.53 · Santamarina Tandil 0.88), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina Tandil?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.