Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 13/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Draih vs Al Ahli Jeddah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Al Draih0.95
Al Ahli Jeddah2.37
1X2
Al Draih
Draw
Al Ahli Jeddah
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al Draih
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Al Ahli Jeddah
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Draih 1536 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1551
| Al Draih | Draw | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Draih | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fateh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fayha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hazm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Draih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Al Ain SCC World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Al Ahli Jeddah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Fulham Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Holstein Kiel World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Pinzgau Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Machida Zelvia AFC Champions League Elite |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Draih vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (68%). Probabilities: Al Draih 13%, draw 19%, Al Ahli Jeddah 68%.
How many goals are expected in Al Draih vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Al Draih 0.95 · Al Ahli Jeddah 2.37), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Draih vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.