Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Faisaly Harmah vs Neom SC
Team pages: Al Faisaly Harmah · Neom SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Al Faisaly Harmah1.13
Neom SC1.81
1X2
Al Faisaly Harmah
Draw
Neom SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Faisaly Harmah
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Neom SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Faisaly Harmah
1–1
Neom SC
(2 last)
- Neom SC4-1Al Faisaly Harmah
- Al Faisaly Harmah3-2Neom SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Faisaly Harmah 1591 · Neom SC 1527
| Al Faisaly Harmah | Draw | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 22% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Faisaly Harmah (rating 1591 vs 1527).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Faisaly Harmah | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Faisaly Harmah 1–0–1 Neom SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Neom SC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Al Faisaly Harmah |
| 06/01/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Neom SC |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hazem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Draih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Fateh SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Faisaly Harmah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/04 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/03 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Neom SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Las Palmas World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Al-Arabi Doha World Club Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Orlando Pirates World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Granada World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Peterborough World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Faisaly Harmah vs Neom SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Neom SC win (53%). Probabilities: Al Faisaly Harmah 23%, draw 24%, Neom SC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Al Faisaly Harmah vs Neom SC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Al Faisaly Harmah 1.13 · Neom SC 1.81), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Faisaly Harmah vs Neom SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.