Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 01/11, 15:00
Prediction: Aris Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta
Team pages: Aris Limassol · Anorthosis Famagusta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Aris Limassol1.96
Anorthosis Famagusta0.93
1X2
Aris Limassol
Draw
Anorthosis Famagusta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Aris Limassol
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Anorthosis Famagusta
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aris Limassol
3–2–1
Anorthosis Famagusta
(6 last)
- Aris Limassol0-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-1Aris Limassol
- Anorthosis Famagusta0-3Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol3-0Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta0-4Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol1-1Anorthosis Famagusta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aris Limassol 1514 · Anorthosis Famagusta 1481
| Aris Limassol | Draw | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aris Limassol: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aris Limassol | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Limassol 3–2–1 Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 26/10/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Aris Limassol |
| 15/02/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Aris Limassol |
| 09/11/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 11/05/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Aris Limassol |
| 31/03/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Pafos FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 5 |
| 13 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 14 | APK Karmotissa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aris Limassol | Anorthosis Famagusta |
|---|---|---|
| AEL Limassol | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Olympiakos Nicosia | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Apollon Limassol | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Pafos FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Aris Limassol (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aris Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 20/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aris Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aris Limassol win (60%). Probabilities: Aris Limassol 60%, draw 24%, Anorthosis Famagusta 16%.
How many goals are expected in Aris Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Aris Limassol 1.96 · Anorthosis Famagusta 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aris Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.