Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 01/11, 18:00
Prediction: Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia
Team pages: Omonia Aradippou · Apoel Nicosia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Omonia Aradippou0.81
Apoel Nicosia1.89
1X2
Omonia Aradippou
Draw
Apoel Nicosia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Omonia Aradippou
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Apoel Nicosia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omonia Aradippou
0–1–3
Apoel Nicosia
(4 last)
- Apoel Nicosia1-1Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou0-4Apoel Nicosia
- Apoel Nicosia7-0Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou0-5Apoel Nicosia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omonia Aradippou 1486 · Apoel Nicosia 1510
| Omonia Aradippou | Draw | Apoel Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 24% | 62% |
| Market | 15% | 23% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Apoel Nicosia: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omonia Aradippou | Apoel Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Aradippou 0–1–3 Apoel Nicosia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Apoel Nicosia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 03/10/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Apoel Nicosia |
| 26/01/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Apoel Nicosia | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 19/10/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Apoel Nicosia |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Pafos FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 5 |
| 13 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 14 | APK Karmotissa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omonia Aradippou | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis Famagusta | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| AEL Limassol | 0-2 L | 6-0 W |
| AEK Larnaca | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Omonia Nicosia | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omonia Aradippou
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
Apoel Nicosia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 19/10 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Apoel Nicosia win (62%). Probabilities: Omonia Aradippou 15%, draw 23%, Apoel Nicosia 62%.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Omonia Aradippou 0.81 · Apoel Nicosia 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.