Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Omonia Nicosia vs AEL Limassol

Team pages: Omonia Nicosia · AEL Limassol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Omonia Nicosia2.18

AEL Limassol0.78

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Omonia Nicosia Draw AEL Limassol

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Omonia Nicosia 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDWWDL

AEL Limassol 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Omonia Nicosia 5–1–0 AEL Limassol (6 last)

Omonia Nicosia1-1AEL Limassol
AEL Limassol0-2Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia5-0AEL Limassol
Omonia Nicosia3-0AEL Limassol
AEL Limassol0-4Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia3-1AEL Limassol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Omonia Nicosia 1557 · AEL Limassol 1536

	Omonia Nicosia	Draw	AEL Limassol
Our model	69%	20%	11%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Omonia Nicosia: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Omonia Nicosia	AEL Limassol
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 7.3	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +2’	1.33	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Nicosia 5–1–0 AEL Limassol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Cyprus Cup	Omonia Nicosia	1-1 HT 0-0	AEL Limassol
09/01/26 Cyprus Division 1	AEL Limassol	0-2 HT 0-1	Omonia Nicosia
22/09/25 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	5-0 HT 1-0	AEL Limassol
28/01/25 Cyprus Cup	Omonia Nicosia	3-0 HT 1-0	AEL Limassol
12/01/25 Cyprus Division 1	AEL Limassol	0-4 HT 0-1	Omonia Nicosia
27/09/24 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	3-1 HT 1-1	AEL Limassol

Standings · Cyprus Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	7	5	1	1	13	5	16
2	Apollon Limassol	7	4	3	0	19	8	15
3	AEL Limassol	7	5	0	2	11	11	15
4	Omonia Nicosia	7	3	3	1	13	6	12
5	Pafos FC	7	3	3	1	7	3	12
6	Aris Limassol	7	3	3	1	10	9	12
7	Apoel Nicosia	7	3	2	2	16	9	11
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	7	2	0	5	6	13	6
10	Olympiakos Nicosia	7	0	6	1	11	12	6
11	Omonia Aradippou	7	1	3	3	4	8	6
12	Nea Salamis Famagusta	7	1	2	4	11	15	5
13	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
14	APK Karmotissa	7	0	3	4	4	16	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omonia Nicosia	AEL Limassol
Olympiakos Nicosia	2-2 D	1-3 L
Krasava ENY Ypsonas	4-1 W	1-1 D
Aris Limassol	4-1 W	1-3 L
Omonia Aradippou	0-0 D	2-0 W
Apoel Nicosia	3-0 W	0-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Omonia Nicosia (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omonia Nicosia

DWWDWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-2	7	8	L
19/10	Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
09/10	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1	0-0	3-0	10	5	W
20/09	Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1	1-1	4-1	13	5	W
12/09	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
07/09	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-0	4-1	6	4	W
31/08	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
22/05	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-1	5-2	6	4	W
16/05	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
10/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-1	1-1	5	7	D

AEL Limassol

DLWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
18/10	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
11/10	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-1	9	1	W
18/09	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
11/09	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	1-0	2-1	1	11	W
06/09	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	0-2	0-6	0	6	L
30/08	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
15/05	Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
09/05	Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-2	1-3	1	3	L
02/05	Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1	0-0	1-1	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omonia Nicosia vs AEL Limassol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Omonia Nicosia win (69%). Probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 69%, draw 20%, AEL Limassol 11%.

How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs AEL Limassol?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Omonia Nicosia 2.18 · AEL Limassol 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs AEL Limassol?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.