Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Krasava ENY Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca

Team pages: Krasava ENY Ypsonas · AEK Larnaca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Krasava ENY Ypsonas0.97

AEK Larnaca2.3

1X2

13% 21% 66%

Krasava ENY Ypsonas Draw AEK Larnaca

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Krasava ENY Ypsonas 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLLLWD

AEK Larnaca 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Krasava ENY Ypsonas 0–2 AEK Larnaca (2 last)

AEK Larnaca2-1Krasava ENY Ypsonas
Krasava ENY Ypsonas0-4AEK Larnaca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Krasava ENY Ypsonas 1423 · AEK Larnaca 1587

	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	Draw	AEK Larnaca
Our model	14%	20%	66%
Market	13%	21%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1423 vs 1587).
H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	AEK Larnaca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.33

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.93

2 (-1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +2’	7.00	4.33	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasava ENY Ypsonas 0–0–2 AEK Larnaca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Cyprus Division 1	AEK Larnaca	2-1 HT 1-0	Krasava ENY Ypsonas
27/09/25 Cyprus Division 1	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	0-4 HT 0-2	AEK Larnaca

Standings · Cyprus Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	7	5	1	1	13	5	16
2	Apollon Limassol	7	4	3	0	19	8	15
3	AEL Limassol	7	5	0	2	11	11	15
4	Omonia Nicosia	7	3	3	1	13	6	12
5	Pafos FC	7	3	3	1	7	3	12
6	Aris Limassol	7	3	3	1	10	9	12
7	Apoel Nicosia	7	3	2	2	16	9	11
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	7	2	0	5	6	13	6
10	Olympiakos Nicosia	7	0	6	1	11	12	6
11	Omonia Aradippou	7	1	3	3	4	8	6
12	Nea Salamis Famagusta	7	1	2	4	11	15	5
13	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
14	APK Karmotissa	7	0	3	4	4	16	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia	1-4 L	2-0 W
Aris Limassol	0-1 L	1-1 D
Omonia Aradippou	1-2 L	1-0 W
Omonia 29is Maiou	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Krasava ENY Ypsonas

DLDLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
17/10	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1	2-1	2-1	6	7	W
10/10	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
20/09	Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-1	1-4	0	5	L
14/09	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
05/09	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
28/08	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
17/05	Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/05	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-5	2	1	L
02/05	AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

AEK Larnaca

DDWWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	8	W
18/10	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
12/10	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
18/09	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
13/09	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
06/09	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
29/08	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/05	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-0	4-3	1	5	W
16/05	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
10/05	Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-0	1-1	1	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Krasava ENY Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AEK Larnaca win (66%). Probabilities: Krasava ENY Ypsonas 13%, draw 21%, AEK Larnaca 66%.

How many goals are expected in Krasava ENY Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Krasava ENY Ypsonas 0.97 · AEK Larnaca 2.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Krasava ENY Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.