Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 13/08, 18:15
Prediction: Abha vs Al Hazm
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Abha1.2
Al Hazm1.24
1X2
Abha
Draw
Al Hazm
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Abha
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Al Hazm
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Abha
1–2–3
Al Hazm
(6 last)
- Abha1-1Al Hazm
- Al Hazm4-1Abha
- Al Hazm2-1Abha
- Abha1-1Al Hazm
- Abha2-1Al Hazm
- Al Hazm2-0Abha
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abha 1524 · Al Hazm 1497
| Abha | Draw | Al Hazm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Hazm: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Abha | Al Hazm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Abha 1–2–3 Al Hazm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Abha | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Hazm |
| 23/10/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Hazm | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Abha |
| 27/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hazm | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Abha |
| 14/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Al Hazm |
| 11/02/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al Hazm |
| 18/09/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hazm | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Abha |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fateh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fayha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hazm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Caykur Rizespor World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 15/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 09/04 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/03 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Al Hazm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/04 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/03 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abha vs Al Hazm?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hazm win (36%). Probabilities: Abha 34%, draw 30%, Al Hazm 36%.
How many goals are expected in Abha vs Al Hazm?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Abha 1.2 · Al Hazm 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Hazm?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.