Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Faisaly Harmah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Al Hilal Riyadh2.42
Al Faisaly Harmah0.51
1X2
Al Hilal Riyadh
Draw
Al Faisaly Harmah
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Hilal Riyadh
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Al Faisaly Harmah
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Hilal Riyadh
4–2–0
Al Faisaly Harmah
(6 last)
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-1Al Faisaly Harmah
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-2Al Faisaly Harmah
- Al Faisaly Harmah2-3Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh3-2Al Faisaly Harmah
- Al Faisaly Harmah1-1Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-0Al Faisaly Harmah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Hilal Riyadh 1577 · Al Faisaly Harmah 1617
| Al Hilal Riyadh | Draw | Al Faisaly Harmah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 16% | 5% |
| Market | 80% | 14% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Faisaly Harmah (rating 1577 vs 1617).
- H2H favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Hilal Riyadh | Al Faisaly Harmah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.1 | 3.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hilal Riyadh 4–2–0 Al Faisaly Harmah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Faisaly Harmah |
| 06/01/22 Saudi Arabia Super Cup | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Al Faisaly Harmah |
| 31/12/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Faisaly Harmah | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 30/05/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Al Faisaly Harmah |
| 25/01/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Faisaly Harmah | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 25/08/20 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Faisaly Harmah |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fateh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fayha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hazm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | MC Alger Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Mamelodi Sundowns World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Sturm Graz II World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Al Faisaly Harmah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/04 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/03 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/03 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
4-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Faisaly Harmah?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Hilal Riyadh win (80%). Probabilities: Al Hilal Riyadh 80%, draw 15%, Al Faisaly Harmah 6%.
How many goals are expected in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Faisaly Harmah?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Al Hilal Riyadh 2.42 · Al Faisaly Harmah 0.51), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Faisaly Harmah?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.