Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 21/08, 18:00
Prediction: Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh
Team pages: Al Riyadh · Al-Nassr Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Al Riyadh1.74
Al-Nassr Riyadh1.97
1X2
Al Riyadh
Draw
Al-Nassr Riyadh
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Riyadh
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Al-Nassr Riyadh
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Riyadh
0–1–5
Al-Nassr Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Riyadh0-1Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh5-1Al Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh2-1Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh0-1Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al Riyadh2-2Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh4-1Al Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Nassr Riyadh (rating 1460 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Al-Nassr Riyadh: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Riyadh | Al-Nassr Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Riyadh 0–1–5 Al-Nassr Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 20/09/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 12/04/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al Riyadh |
| 08/11/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 23/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 08/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Al Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Draih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Fateh SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Riyadh | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh SC | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Nassr Riyadh (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Al Gharafa World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/04 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Al-Nassr Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/08 | Almeria World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Estrela World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Gamba Osaka AFC Champions League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 22/04 | Al-Ahli Doha AFC Champions League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Nassr Riyadh win (43%). Probabilities: Al Riyadh 34%, draw 23%, Al-Nassr Riyadh 43%.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Al Riyadh 1.74 · Al-Nassr Riyadh 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.