Prediction: Nakhon Pathom FC vs Mahasarakham SBT FC
Team pages: Nakhon Pathom FC · Mahasarakham SBT FC
- Mahasarakham SBT FC0-2Nakhon Pathom FC
- Nakhon Pathom FC0-1Mahasarakham SBT FC
| Nakhon Pathom FC | Draw | Mahasarakham SBT FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nakhon Pathom FC (rating 1525 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nakhon Pathom FC | Mahasarakham SBT FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nakhon Pathom FC 1–0–1 Mahasarakham SBT FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Thailand Division 2 | Mahasarakham SBT FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nakhon Pathom FC |
| 06/12/25 Thailand Division 2 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mahasarakham SBT FC |
Standings · Thailand Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Uttaradit FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Nakhon Ratchasima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | PT Satun | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Kanchanaburi Power | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Muang Thong United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Chainat FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Chiangmai United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Phrae United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Police Tero FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 14 | Muang Loei United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 9 |
| 15 | Pattaya United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 9 |
| 16 | Songkhla FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham SBT FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nakhon Pathom FC | Mahasarakham SBT FC |
|---|---|---|
| Uttaradit FC | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4-3 W | 0-3 L |
| Chanthaburi FC | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Muang Thong United | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Kasetsart FC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nakhon Ratchasima | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Nakhon Pathom FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nakhon Pathom FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | PT Satun Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/10 | Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Muang Thong United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Mahasarakham SBT FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/10 | Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Muang Thong United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/10 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nakhon Pathom FC vs Mahasarakham SBT FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nakhon Pathom FC win (45%). Probabilities: Nakhon Pathom FC 45%, draw 28%, Mahasarakham SBT FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Nakhon Pathom FC vs Mahasarakham SBT FC?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Nakhon Pathom FC 1.39 · Mahasarakham SBT FC 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nakhon Pathom FC vs Mahasarakham SBT FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.