Football · Thailand Division 2 · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Phrae United vs Khonkaen United

Team pages: Phrae United · Khonkaen United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Phrae United1.23

Khonkaen United1.29

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Phrae United Draw Khonkaen United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Phrae United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWWWLD

Khonkaen United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Phrae United 2–1–3 Khonkaen United (6 last)

Khonkaen United4-2Phrae United
Phrae United1-1Khonkaen United
Khonkaen United2-1Phrae United
Phrae United1-3Khonkaen United
Phrae United2-0Khonkaen United
Khonkaen United1-2Phrae United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Phrae United 1477 · Khonkaen United 1575

	Phrae United	Draw	Khonkaen United
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khonkaen United (rating 1477 vs 1575).
H2H favours Khonkaen United: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Phrae United	Khonkaen United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 4.6	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.71 ★
X	3.25 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	2.15 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.44

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +5’	2.90	3.25	2.15
14:45 +24’	2.60▼	3.20▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +3’	2.71	3.14	2.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Phrae United 2–1–3 Khonkaen United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Thailand Division 2	Khonkaen United	4-2 HT 2-1	Phrae United
21/09/25 Thailand Division 2	Phrae United	1-1 HT 1-0	Khonkaen United
10/04/21 Thailand Division 2	Khonkaen United	2-1 HT 0-1	Phrae United
04/04/21 Thailand Division 2	Phrae United	1-3 HT 0-1	Khonkaen United
17/03/21 Thailand Division 2	Phrae United	2-0 HT 1-0	Khonkaen United
21/11/20 Thailand Division 2	Khonkaen United	1-2 HT 0-1	Phrae United

Standings · Thailand Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Khonkaen United	8	6	0	2	15	7	18
2	Uttaradit FC	8	4	3	1	16	11	15
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	8	4	2	2	18	12	14
4	PT Satun	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
5	Kanchanaburi Power	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
6	Chainat FC	8	4	1	3	14	15	13
7	Nakhon Ratchasima	8	3	3	2	12	10	12
8	Chiangmai United	8	3	2	3	9	8	11
9	Phrae United	8	3	2	3	8	8	11
10	Muang Thong United	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
11	Chanthaburi FC	8	2	4	2	8	5	10
12	Police Tero FC	8	3	1	4	11	14	10
13	Nakhon Pathom FC	8	2	4	2	8	11	10
14	Muang Loei United	8	2	3	3	13	12	9
15	Pattaya United	8	2	2	4	6	14	8
16	Songkhla FC	8	1	4	3	10	12	7
17	Mahasarakham SBT FC	8	0	4	4	6	15	4
18	Kasetsart FC	8	1	1	6	7	17	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Phrae United	Khonkaen United
Pattaya United	3-0 W	2-0 W
Muang Loei United	0-2 L	4-2 W
Chainat FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Police Tero FC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Khonkaen United (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Phrae United

LLLDLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
17/10	Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
13/10	Muang Thong United Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
09/10	Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
20/09	Pattaya United Thailand Division 2	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
17/09	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
13/09	Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
06/09	Chainat FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
25/04	Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
18/04	Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2	1-1	1-3	4	5	L

Khonkaen United

WDWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 2	2-0	4-2	8	7	W
18/10	Pattaya United Thailand Division 2	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
15/10	Chainat FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
11/10	PT Satun Thailand Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	9	L
19/09	Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	2-0	10	6	W
15/09	Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
12/09	Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/09	Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
25/04	Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Phrae United vs Khonkaen United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Khonkaen United win (37%). Probabilities: Phrae United 34%, draw 29%, Khonkaen United 37%.

How many goals are expected in Phrae United vs Khonkaen United?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Phrae United 1.23 · Khonkaen United 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Phrae United vs Khonkaen United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.