Football · Thailand Division 2 · 08/11, 12:30
Prediction: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat FC
Team pages: Nong Bua Pitchaya · Chainat FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.25
Chainat FC1.34
1X2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw
Chainat FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Nong Bua Pitchaya
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Chainat FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–2–1
Chainat FC
(6 last)
- Nong Bua Pitchaya1-1Chainat FC
- Chainat FC3-0Nong Bua Pitchaya
- Nong Bua Pitchaya3-2Chainat FC
- Chainat FC1-2Nong Bua Pitchaya
- Chainat FC1-1Nong Bua Pitchaya
- Nong Bua Pitchaya1-0Chainat FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nong Bua Pitchaya 1558 · Chainat FC 1487
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | Draw | Chainat FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 20% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nong Bua Pitchaya (rating 1558 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Nong Bua Pitchaya: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chainat FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–2–1 Chainat FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Thailand Division 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chainat FC |
| 20/09/25 Thailand Division 2 | Chainat FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
| 10/03/24 Thailand Division 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Chainat FC |
| 11/11/23 Thailand Division 2 | Chainat FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
| 06/03/21 Thailand Division 2 | Chainat FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
| 25/10/20 Thailand Division 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chainat FC |
Standings · Thailand Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Uttaradit FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Nakhon Ratchasima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | PT Satun | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Kanchanaburi Power | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Muang Thong United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Chainat FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Chiangmai United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Phrae United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Police Tero FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 14 | Muang Loei United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 9 |
| 15 | Pattaya United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 9 |
| 16 | Songkhla FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham SBT FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chainat FC |
|---|---|---|
| Uttaradit FC | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Kasetsart FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pattani FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nong Bua Pitchaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | PT Satun Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Muang Thong United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Pattani FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Chainat FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2 |
1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/10 | Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Pattaya United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Muang Loei United Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Pattani FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nong Bua Pitchaya win (57%). Probabilities: Nong Bua Pitchaya 57%, draw 21%, Chainat FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat FC?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.25 · Chainat FC 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.