Football · Thailand Division 2 · 14/10, 13:30
Prediction: Chanthaburi FC vs Nakhon Pathom FC
Team pages: Chanthaburi FC · Nakhon Pathom FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Chanthaburi FC1.22
Nakhon Pathom FC0.84
1X2
Chanthaburi FC
Draw
Nakhon Pathom FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chanthaburi FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Nakhon Pathom FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chanthaburi FC
0–2
Nakhon Pathom FC
(2 last)
- Nakhon Pathom FC2-0Chanthaburi FC
- Chanthaburi FC1-3Nakhon Pathom FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chanthaburi FC 1467 · Nakhon Pathom FC 1532
| Chanthaburi FC | Draw | Nakhon Pathom FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nakhon Pathom FC (rating 1467 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Nakhon Pathom FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chanthaburi FC | Nakhon Pathom FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chanthaburi FC 0–0–2 Nakhon Pathom FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 Thailand Division 2 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chanthaburi FC |
| 20/09/25 Thailand Division 2 | Chanthaburi FC | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Nakhon Pathom FC |
Standings · Thailand Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uttaradit FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Chainat FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | PT Satun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Khonkaen United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Muang Loei United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Police Tero FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Muang Thong United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Kanchanaburi Power | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Chanthaburi FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Songkhla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pattaya United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham SBT FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chanthaburi FC | Nakhon Pathom FC |
|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Kasetsart FC | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Khonkaen United | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chanthaburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Pattani FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 21/03 | Nakhon Si United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 14/03 | Sisaket United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Nakhon Pathom FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Muang Thong United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Bangkok FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 13/03 | Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chanthaburi FC vs Nakhon Pathom FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chanthaburi FC win (45%). Probabilities: Chanthaburi FC 45%, draw 29%, Nakhon Pathom FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Chanthaburi FC vs Nakhon Pathom FC?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Chanthaburi FC 1.22 · Nakhon Pathom FC 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chanthaburi FC vs Nakhon Pathom FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.