Football · Thailand Division 2 · 15/10, 14:00
Prediction: Khonkaen United vs Chainat FC
Team pages: Khonkaen United · Chainat FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Khonkaen United1.76
Chainat FC1.07
1X2
Khonkaen United
Draw
Chainat FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Khonkaen United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Chainat FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Khonkaen United
2–1–1
Chainat FC
(4 last)
- Khonkaen United2-1Chainat FC
- Chainat FC2-1Khonkaen United
- Khonkaen United3-0Chainat FC
- Chainat FC1-1Khonkaen United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khonkaen United 1530 · Chainat FC 1490
| Khonkaen United | Draw | Chainat FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khonkaen United (rating 1530 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Khonkaen United: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khonkaen United | Chainat FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khonkaen United 2–1–1 Chainat FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Thailand Division 2 | Khonkaen United | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Chainat FC |
| 23/08/25 Thailand Division 2 | Chainat FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Khonkaen United |
| 06/02/21 Thailand Division 2 | Khonkaen United | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Chainat FC |
| 26/02/20 Thailand Division 2 | Chainat FC | 1-1 | Khonkaen United |
Standings · Thailand Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uttaradit FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Chainat FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Phrae United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | PT Satun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Khonkaen United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Kanchanaburi Power | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Muang Loei United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Police Tero FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Muang Thong United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Songkhla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Pattaya United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham SBT FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khonkaen United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | PT Satun Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/04 | Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Chainat FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Pattaya United Thailand Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Muang Loei United Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Phrae United Thailand Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Pattani FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Pattani FC Thailand Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Pattaya United Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Trat FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khonkaen United vs Chainat FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Khonkaen United win (53%). Probabilities: Khonkaen United 53%, draw 25%, Chainat FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Khonkaen United vs Chainat FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Khonkaen United 1.76 · Chainat FC 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Khonkaen United vs Chainat FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.