Football · Argentina Torneo A · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético El Linqueño

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

Gimnasia y Esgrima1.18

Club Atlético El Linqueño0.5

1X2

53% 32% 15%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Draw Club Atlético El Linqueño

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Gimnasia y Esgrima 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDLLWD

Club Atlético El Linqueño 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Gimnasia y Esgrima 2–2–2 Club Atlético El Linqueño (6 last)

Club Atlético El Linqueño0-0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Club Atlético El Linqueño0-0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima0-2Club Atlético El Linqueño

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia y Esgrima 1523 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1455

	Gimnasia y Esgrima	Draw	Club Atlético El Linqueño
Our model	52%	33%	15%
Market	53%	31%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia y Esgrima (rating 1523 vs 1455).
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimnasia y Esgrima	Club Atlético El Linqueño
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X2.90

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	4.10 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +28’	1.85	2.90	4.10
19:31 +3’	1.67▼	2.90	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Esgrima 2–2–2 Club Atlético El Linqueño

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Esgrima
29/07/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Esgrima
18/05/25 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia y Esgrima	0-2 HT 0-0	Club Atlético El Linqueño
16/03/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	0-1 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Esgrima
16/09/24 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia y Esgrima	2-0 HT 0-0	Club Atlético El Linqueño
19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	1-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Esgrima

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21	9	30
2	CA Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20	14	28
3	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15	10	26
4	Defensores de Belgrano VR	17	7	5	5	22	18	26
5	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27	25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11	12	23
7	Escobar FC	18	6	4	8	21	29	22
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14	21	18
9	Gimnasia y Esgrima	17	4	5	8	12	17	17
10	Club Atlético El Linqueño	17	4	4	9	13	21	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimnasia y Esgrima	Club Atlético El Linqueño
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	0-0 D	0-1 L
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	3-0 W	2-3 L
Escobar FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sportivo Las Parejas	0-1 L	0-1 L
Independiente Chivilcoy	0-0 D	2-1 W
Sportivo Belgrano	1-0 W	1-1 D
CA Douglas Haig	0-0 D	2-0 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia y Esgrima (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia y Esgrima

WDWDWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
28/06	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/06	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
14/06	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
07/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
31/05	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
24/05	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/05	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
10/05	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	3	8	W

Club Atlético El Linqueño

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
05/07	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
28/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
23/06	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-2	2-3	7	1	L
14/06	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
07/06	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
31/05	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	8	8	L
24/05	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
17/05	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
09/05	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Esgrima win (53%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Esgrima 53%, draw 32%, Club Atlético El Linqueño 15%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

The model expects 1.69 goals (Gimnasia y Esgrima 1.18 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.5), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.