Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 10:00

Prediction: CS Stefanesti vs Chindia Targoviste

Team pages: CS Stefanesti · Chindia Targoviste

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

CS Stefanesti1.08

Chindia Targoviste2.26

1X2

16% 20% 63%

CS Stefanesti Draw Chindia Targoviste

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Stefanesti 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLLL

Chindia Targoviste 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Stefanesti 1401 · Chindia Targoviste 1559

	CS Stefanesti	Draw	Chindia Targoviste
Our model	16%	21%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chindia Targoviste (rating 1401 vs 1559).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Stefanesti	Chindia Targoviste
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.3	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	3.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +14’	5.50	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Stefanesti	Chindia Targoviste
AFC Metalul Buzau	0-3 L	3-1 W
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	1-4 L	1-2 L
CS Afumati	0-4 L	3-0 W
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chindia Targoviste (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Stefanesti

WLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
17/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-3	1-4	8	6	L
11/10	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
19/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
05/09	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	0	5	L
22/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-1	7	2	W
15/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
08/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Chindia Targoviste

WWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	6	2	W
20/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	3-2	4-2	4	4	W
10/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
19/09	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/09	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	4-0	2	7	W
04/09	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
29/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-1	3-1	2	7	W
21/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
09/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-1	12	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Stefanesti vs Chindia Targoviste?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chindia Targoviste win (63%). Probabilities: CS Stefanesti 16%, draw 20%, Chindia Targoviste 63%.

How many goals are expected in CS Stefanesti vs Chindia Targoviste?

The model expects 3.34 goals (CS Stefanesti 1.08 · Chindia Targoviste 2.26), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Stefanesti vs Chindia Targoviste?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.