Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 10:00

Prediction: CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati

Team pages: CSM Ramnicu Valcea · CS Afumati

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

CSM Ramnicu Valcea1.34

CS Afumati1.34

1X2

36% 27% 36%

CSM Ramnicu Valcea Draw CS Afumati

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Ramnicu Valcea 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLLL

CS Afumati 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDWWLL

Head-to-head

CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–2 CS Afumati (2 last)

CSM Ramnicu Valcea0-3CS Afumati
CS Afumati3-1CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1475 · CS Afumati 1472

	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	Draw	CS Afumati
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Afumati: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	CS Afumati
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.92 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +11’	2.45	3.40	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +24’	2.92	3.31	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–0–2 CS Afumati

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/17 Romania Liga 2	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	0-3	CS Afumati
30/10/16 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	3-1 HT 2-0	CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

WLDWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
17/10	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
10/10	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
20/09	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	1-2	3-2	2	3	W
12/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	3	9	L
05/09	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
22/08	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-2	4	11	D
15/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-1	5	2	W

CS Afumati

LLDWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
17/10	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
11/10	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
19/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	10	6	W
29/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
08/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Ramnicu Valcea win (36%). Probabilities: CSM Ramnicu Valcea 36%, draw 27%, CS Afumati 36%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati?

The model expects 2.67 goals (CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1.34 · CS Afumati 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.