Football · Panama Liga Prom · 25/07, 23:00

Prediction: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Udelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.05

Udelas FC1.64

1X2

46% 24% 30%

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Draw Udelas FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLLDWD

Udelas FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDWLWD

Head-to-head

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 4–1–1 Udelas FC (6 last)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-2Udelas FC
Udelas FC3-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves8-0Udelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1534 · Udelas FC 1541

	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Draw	Udelas FC
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	45%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Udelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/29/29%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	6.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +1’	2.00	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 4–1–1 Udelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-2 HT 2-0	Udelas FC
01/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	3-1 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
31/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	8-0 HT 2-0	Udelas FC
02/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-4 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
05/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-2 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
17/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-1 HT 2-0	Udelas FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	San Francisco Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SD Atletico Nacional	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Udelas FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Union Cocle Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	Udelas FC
Union Cocle Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
San Francisco Reserves	0-0 D	2-0 W
SD Atletico Nacional	3-4 L	3-3 D
Aguilas de la U	0-1 L	2-2 D
Rayados de Chiriqui	3-1 W	0-1 L
CD Universitario Reserves	3-3 D	2-1 W
La Familia FC	5-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

WDDDWLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	7	8	D
25/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
18/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-2	3-4	8	9	L
04/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-1	3-1	3	5	W
21/03	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	5	7	D
14/03	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/03	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
26/02	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	3-0	5-1	6	6	W

Udelas FC

WWWDDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	6	10	D
15/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	2	8	D
26/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-2	2	13	D
17/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-3	6	4	D
11/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
05/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
29/03	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	8	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Udelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (46%). Probabilities: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 46%, draw 24%, Udelas FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model expects 3.69 goals (CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2.05 · Udelas FC 1.64), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.