Football · Panama Liga Prom · 26/07, 03:00
Prediction: Bocas vs La Familia FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Bocas2.79
La Familia FC0.79
1X2
Bocas
Draw
La Familia FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bocas
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
La Familia FC
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bocas
6–0
La Familia FC
(6 last)
- Bocas7-0La Familia FC
- La Familia FC0-1Bocas
- La Familia FC0-4Bocas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bocas 1538 · La Familia FC 1354
| Bocas | Draw | La Familia FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bocas (rating 1538 vs 1354).
- H2H favours Bocas: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bocas | La Familia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 0/38/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 6.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bocas 6–0–0 La Familia FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 7-0 HT 2-0 | La Familia FC |
| 24/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bocas |
| 02/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Bocas |
| 17/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 4-1 HT 2-0 | La Familia FC |
| 27/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 2-1 HT 0-1 | La Familia FC |
| 14/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bocas |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Universitario Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bocas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Herrera FC Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | La Familia FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Rayados de Chiriqui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Veraguas United Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bocas | La Familia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Veraguas United Reserves | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Rayados de Chiriqui | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Aguilas de la U | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| SD Atletico Nacional | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| San Francisco Reserves | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Bocas (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bocas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 05/04 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 29/03 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/03 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/03 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/03 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
La Familia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 02/04 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/03 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 21/03 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/03 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 26/02 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bocas vs La Familia FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bocas win (79%). Probabilities: Bocas 79%, draw 14%, La Familia FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Bocas vs La Familia FC?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Bocas 2.79 · La Familia FC 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bocas vs La Familia FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.