Prediction: FK Gabala vs Safa Baku
Team pages: FK Gabala · Safa Baku
- FK Gabala2-1Safa Baku
| FK Gabala | Draw | Safa Baku | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gabala | Safa Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gabala 1–0–0 Safa Baku
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/25 Azerbaijan Cup | FK Gabala | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Safa Baku |
Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | FK Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sabah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zira IK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | PFK Turan Tovuz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Araz FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Imisli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FK Gabala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Shamakhi FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | FK Sumqayit | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gabala | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Energetik Mingechevir | 2-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Zira IK | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gabala (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gabala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Premier League Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Safa Baku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | Baku Sporting FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/04 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gabala vs Safa Baku?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gabala win (48%). Probabilities: FK Gabala 48%, draw 29%, Safa Baku 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gabala vs Safa Baku?
The model expects 2.19 goals (FK Gabala 1.34 · Safa Baku 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gabala vs Safa Baku?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.