Prediction: Zira IK vs Imisli

Team pages: Zira IK · Imisli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Zira IK1.45
Imisli0.53
1X2
60% 26% 14%
Zira IK Draw Imisli
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zira IK 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDDDDWDWLW
Imisli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLWDLDD
Head-to-head
Zira IK 0–3–0 Imisli (3 last)
  • Imisli0-0Zira IK
  • Zira IK0-0Imisli
  • Imisli1-1Zira IK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zira IK 1543 · Imisli 1493
Zira IKDrawImisli
Our model59%29%12%
Market61%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zira IK (rating 1543 vs 1493).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zira IKImisli
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.90.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.31.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zira IK 030 Imisli

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli0-0
HT 0-0
Zira IK
20/12/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Zira IK0-0
HT 0-0
Imisli
26/09/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli1-1
HT 1-0
Zira IK

Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Neftchi Baku 1100 313
1 FK Qarabag 1100 313
3 Sabah 1100 203
3 Zira IK 1100 203
5 PFK Turan Tovuz 1100 103
6 Araz FK 1010 001
6 Imisli 1010 001
8 FK Gabala 1001 010
9 Shamakhi FK 1001 130
9 FK Sumqayit 1001 130
11 FK Kapaz 1001 020
11 Safa Baku 1001 020

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZira IKImisli
Araz FK 2-3 L 0-0 D
FK Sumqayit 2-1 W 0-2 L
FK Gabala 1-0 W 1-0 W
PFK Turan Tovuz 1-1 D 1-1 D
Neftchi Baku 1-1 D 0-6 L
FK Karvan 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zira IK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zira IK

WDDDDWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 2-0 34 W
23/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-2 2-3 73 L
17/05 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 2-1 113 W
08/05 Imisli
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 23 D
03/05 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 83 W
27/04 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 32 D
17/04 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 47 D
11/04 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-1 2-2 14 D
07/04 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 25 D
19/03 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 24 W

Imisli

LDWWLWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 94 D
24/05 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 40 D
16/05 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-3 13 L
08/05 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 33 D
02/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 22 W
25/04 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-2 65 L
19/04 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 46 W
12/04 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 23 W
07/04 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-1 45 D
20/03 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-3 0-6 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zira IK vs Imisli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zira IK win (60%). Probabilities: Zira IK 60%, draw 26%, Imisli 14%.

How many goals are expected in Zira IK vs Imisli?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Zira IK 1.45 · Imisli 0.53), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zira IK vs Imisli?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.