Football · Chile Tercera · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: Malleco Unido vs Club Aguara

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Malleco Unido1.96
Club Aguara1.09
1X2
57% 24% 20%
Malleco Unido Draw Club Aguara
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Malleco Unido 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDLDWWWWDW
Club Aguara 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDWWLLDDD
Head-to-head
Malleco Unido 0–2–1 Club Aguara (3 last)
  • Club Aguara1-1Malleco Unido
  • Club Aguara5-3Malleco Unido
  • Malleco Unido2-2Club Aguara
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malleco Unido 1554 · Club Aguara 1536
Malleco UnidoDrawClub Aguara
Our model57%24%20%
Market57%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Malleco UnidoClub Aguara
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 11.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.11.1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.45.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malleco Unido 021 Club Aguara

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Chile Tercera
Club Aguara1-1
HT 1-0
Malleco Unido
23/08/25
Chile Tercera
Club Aguara5-3
HT 3-1
Malleco Unido
11/05/25
Chile Tercera
Malleco Unido2-2
HT 2-1
Club Aguara

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMalleco UnidoClub Aguara
Chimbarongo FC 3-0 W 1-1 D
Futuro FC 4-1 W 2-0 W
CD Imperial Unido 3-2 W 3-1 W
Comunal Cabrero 1-0 W 0-1 L
CD Constitucion Unido 2-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malleco Unido (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malleco Unido

WDLDWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 35 W
27/06 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
21/06 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-0 52 W
14/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 23 W
07/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-2 27 W
03/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 38 W
24/04 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 76 D
19/04 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-3 710 L
11/04 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 65 D
08/11 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 09 W

Club Aguara

WDDWWLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 66 D
05/07 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 35 D
26/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 26 D
20/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-2 14 L
13/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 36 L
07/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-0 23 W
30/05 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 29 W
02/05 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 410 D
24/04 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 16 D
18/04 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-1 37 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malleco Unido vs Club Aguara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malleco Unido win (57%). Probabilities: Malleco Unido 57%, draw 24%, Club Aguara 20%.

How many goals are expected in Malleco Unido vs Club Aguara?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Malleco Unido 1.96 · Club Aguara 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Malleco Unido vs Club Aguara?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.