Football · Chile Tercera · 02/08, 18:00

Prediction: Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC

Team pages: Club Aguara · Chimbarongo FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Club Aguara1.5
Chimbarongo FC0.76
1X2
54% 27% 19%
Club Aguara Draw Chimbarongo FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Aguara 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWWLLDDDL
Chimbarongo FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDWLDLDL
Head-to-head
Club Aguara 1–2–0 Chimbarongo FC (3 last)
  • Chimbarongo FC1-1Club Aguara
  • Chimbarongo FC1-1Club Aguara
  • Club Aguara3-0Chimbarongo FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Aguara 1496 · Chimbarongo FC 1471
Club AguaraDrawChimbarongo FC
Our model53%29%18%
Market55%25%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club AguaraChimbarongo FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 10.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.62.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.46.6 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aguara 120 Chimbarongo FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Chile Tercera
Chimbarongo FC1-1
HT 1-1
Club Aguara
08/11/25
Chile Tercera
Chimbarongo FC1-1
HT 1-0
Club Aguara
19/07/25
Chile Tercera
Club Aguara3-0
HT 1-0
Chimbarongo FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub AguaraChimbarongo FC
Malleco Unido 0-1 L 0-3 L
Rodelindo Roman 1-1 D 1-1 D
Quintero Unido 1-1 D 2-1 W
Futuro FC 2-0 W 0-0 D
CD Constitucion Unido 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aguara (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Aguara

DDWWLLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 22 L
11/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 66 D
05/07 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 35 D
26/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 26 D
20/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-2 14 L
13/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 36 L
07/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-0 23 W
30/05 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 29 W
02/05 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 410 D
24/04 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 16 D

Chimbarongo FC

LDWDWLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 49 L
11/07 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 55 D
04/07 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 46 L
28/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-0 63 D
21/06 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-3 52 L
13/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-0 310 W
06/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 36 D
30/05 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 713 W
02/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 810 D
25/04 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 310 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aguara win (54%). Probabilities: Club Aguara 54%, draw 27%, Chimbarongo FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Club Aguara 1.5 · Chimbarongo FC 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.