Football · Chile Tercera · 26/07, 21:30
Prediction: Taichung Futuro vs Deportes Rancagua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Taichung Futuro1.38
Deportes Rancagua1.35
1X2
Taichung Futuro
Draw
Deportes Rancagua
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taichung Futuro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Rancagua
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taichung Futuro 1529 · Deportes Rancagua 1498
| Taichung Futuro | Draw | Deportes Rancagua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taichung Futuro | Deportes Rancagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.8 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taichung Futuro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 15/03 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Deportes Rancagua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | CD Imperial Unido Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Rodelindo Roman Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Quintero Unido Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Lautaro de Buin Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Atletico Oriente Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Puente Alto Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Futuro FC Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Naval Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taichung Futuro vs Deportes Rancagua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taichung Futuro win (37%). Probabilities: Taichung Futuro 37%, draw 28%, Deportes Rancagua 35%.
How many goals are expected in Taichung Futuro vs Deportes Rancagua?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Taichung Futuro 1.38 · Deportes Rancagua 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Taichung Futuro vs Deportes Rancagua?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.