Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 25/07, 19:30

Prediction: Burgan SC vs Sporty FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Burgan SC1.88
Sporty FC0.91
1X2
59% 24% 17%
Burgan SC Draw Sporty FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Burgan SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWLLLDDL
Sporty FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLWDL
Head-to-head
Burgan SC 1–0 Sporty FC (1 last)
  • Sporty FC1-2Burgan SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgan SC 1470 · Sporty FC 1418
Burgan SCDrawSporty FC
Our model59%24%17%
Market60%23%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgan SC (rating 1470 vs 1418).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burgan SCSporty FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.80.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.3 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.33.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgan SC 100 Sporty FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/11/25
Kuwait Division 1
Sporty FC1-2
HT 1-1
Burgan SC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurgan SCSporty FC
Al Shamiya FC 2-2 D 2-1 W
Khaitan 1-1 D 0-2 L
Yarmouk 0-1 L 0-3 L
Al Salibikhaet SC 1-3 L 0-1 L
Al Sahel SC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Al-Jazeera KWT 3-3 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgan SC

WDLWLLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/02 Al Qadsia SC
Kuwait Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/02 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 139 D
04/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-1 29 D
22/01 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-1 62 L
16/01 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 59 L
10/01 Al Kuwait SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-1 0-3 02 L
05/01 Al Jahra
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-0 2-0 14 W
31/12 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 1-2 44 L
22/12 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 3-3 58 D
03/11 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-1 66 W

Sporty FC

LLLLLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 04 L
31/01 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Cup
0-0 1-1 13 D
26/01 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Cup
2-0 2-1 26 W
22/01 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 05 L
16/01 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-2 12 L
30/12 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-3 30 L
22/12 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 72 L
21/11 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
1-1 1-3 75 L
03/11 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 1-2 26 L
26/10 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgan SC vs Sporty FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgan SC win (59%). Probabilities: Burgan SC 59%, draw 24%, Sporty FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Burgan SC vs Sporty FC?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Burgan SC 1.88 · Sporty FC 0.91), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgan SC vs Sporty FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.