Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 02/08, 19:45

Prediction: Al Shamiya FC vs Yarmouk

Team pages: Al Shamiya FC · Yarmouk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Al Shamiya FC1.03
Yarmouk2.84
1X2
10% 16% 74%
Al Shamiya FC Draw Yarmouk
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al Shamiya FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLLDW
Yarmouk 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDLDLW
Head-to-head
Al Shamiya FC 0–2 Yarmouk (2 last)
  • Yarmouk7-1Al Shamiya FC
  • Al Shamiya FC0-2Yarmouk
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Shamiya FC 1426 · Yarmouk 1535
Al Shamiya FCDrawYarmouk
Our model10%16%74%
Market10%16%74%
Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yarmouk (rating 1426 vs 1535).
  • H2H favours Yarmouk: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al Shamiya FCYarmouk
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 3.22.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.81.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 32.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Shamiya FC 002 Yarmouk

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/12/25
Kuwait Division 1
Yarmouk7-1
HT 6-0
Al Shamiya FC
22/09/25
Kuwait Division 1
Al Shamiya FC0-2
HT 0-1
Yarmouk

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl Shamiya FCYarmouk
Khaitan 1-0 W 2-1 W
Burgan SC 2-2 D 1-0 W
Sporty FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Al Sahel SC 0-4 L 0-1 L
Al-Jazeera KWT 1-2 L 3-3 D
Al Salibikhaet SC 1-6 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Yarmouk (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Shamiya FC

LWLLLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-0 36 W
21/02 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 39 D
26/01 Sporty FC
Kuwait Cup
0-2 1-2 56 L
22/01 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-2 0-4 56 L
15/01 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-2 65 L
30/12 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-6 1-7 12 L
21/12 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-3 1-6 02 L
27/11 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-3 2-5 23 L
21/11 Sporty FC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
1-1 3-1 35 W
03/11 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-3 23 L

Yarmouk

WWLWWDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 2-1 82 W
25/07 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 35 L
20/02 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
2-1 3-3 24 D
12/02 Al Naser SC
Kuwait Cup
1-1 2-3 34 L
04/02 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 2-2 64 D
22/01 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-0 62 W
15/01 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
2-1 W
07/01 Al Arabi SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-0 1-2 56 L
30/12 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
6-0 7-1 112 W
22/12 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 3-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Shamiya FC vs Yarmouk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yarmouk win (74%). Probabilities: Al Shamiya FC 10%, draw 16%, Yarmouk 74%.

How many goals are expected in Al Shamiya FC vs Yarmouk?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Al Shamiya FC 1.03 · Yarmouk 2.84), with a 61% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Shamiya FC vs Yarmouk?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.