Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 02/08, 19:45

Prediction: Al Sahel SC vs Burgan SC

Team pages: Al Sahel SC · Burgan SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Al Sahel SC1.53
Burgan SC0.97
1X2
50% 27% 23%
Al Sahel SC Draw Burgan SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Sahel SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLLLWD
Burgan SC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDDLLL
Head-to-head
Al Sahel SC 3–2–1 Burgan SC (6 last)
  • Burgan SC1-2Al Sahel SC
  • Al Sahel SC0-0Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC0-1Al Sahel SC
  • Al Sahel SC0-2Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC0-0Al Sahel SC
  • Al Sahel SC3-1Burgan SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Sahel SC 1516 · Burgan SC 1421
Al Sahel SCDrawBurgan SC
Our model49%28%23%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Sahel SC (rating 1516 vs 1421).
  • H2H favours Al Sahel SC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al Sahel SCBurgan SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.20.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.21.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.34.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Sahel SC 321 Burgan SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/12/25
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC1-2
HT 1-1
Al Sahel SC
21/09/25
Kuwait Division 1
Al Sahel SC0-0
HT 0-0
Burgan SC
18/05/25
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC0-1
HT 0-0
Al Sahel SC
29/04/25
Kuwait Division 1
Al Sahel SC0-2
HT 0-1
Burgan SC
27/02/25
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC0-0
HT 0-0
Al Sahel SC
27/01/25
Kuwait Division 1
Al Sahel SC3-1
HT 0-1
Burgan SC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl Sahel SCBurgan SC
Khaitan 1-1 D 1-1 D
Yarmouk 1-0 W 0-1 L
Al Salibikhaet SC 1-4 L 1-3 L
Al-Jazeera KWT 1-3 L 0-2 L
Al Shamiya FC 4-0 W 2-2 D
Sporty FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Al Sahel SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Sahel SC

WWDWWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 1-1 210 D
25/07 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-0 15 W
21/02 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-2 1-4 56 L
15/02 Al Arabi SC
Kuwait Cup
0-1 0-2 17 L
05/02 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 97 L
22/01 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
2-0 4-0 36 W
16/01 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 2-1 102 W
04/01 Al Naser SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-0 0-0 145 D
31/12 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-1 64 W
21/12 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 2-0 15 W

Burgan SC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
25/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 32 L
27/02 Al Qadsia SC
Kuwait Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/02 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 139 D
04/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-1 29 D
22/01 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-1 62 L
16/01 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 59 L
10/01 Al Kuwait SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-1 0-3 02 L
05/01 Al Jahra
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-0 2-0 14 W
31/12 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 1-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Sahel SC vs Burgan SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Sahel SC win (50%). Probabilities: Al Sahel SC 50%, draw 27%, Burgan SC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Al Sahel SC vs Burgan SC?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Al Sahel SC 1.53 · Burgan SC 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Sahel SC vs Burgan SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.