Football · South Korea K4 League · 25/07, 10:00

Prediction: Seosan Pioneer vs Gijang United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Seosan Pioneer1.85
Gijang United1.49
1X2
45% 25% 30%
Seosan Pioneer Draw Gijang United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Seosan Pioneer 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLW
Gijang United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWDLL
Head-to-head
Seosan Pioneer 0–1 Gijang United (1 last)
  • Gijang United4-2Seosan Pioneer
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seosan Pioneer 1435 · Gijang United 1467
Seosan PioneerDrawGijang United
Our model45%24%30%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Seosan PioneerGijang United
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.21.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.52.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seosan Pioneer 001 Gijang United

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Gijang United4-2
HT 3-2
Seosan Pioneer

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSeosan PioneerGijang United
Seoul Jungnang FC 2-4 L 0-3 L
Jecheon Citizen 2-3 L 1-1 D
Haman 1-2 L 3-1 W
Jincheon HR 0-3 L 0-2 L
Pyeongchang United 2-0 W 2-4 L
Geoje Citizen FC 0-5 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gijang United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seosan Pioneer

LLWLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-0 5-0 52 W
05/07 Gyeongju HNP
South Korea Cup
0-3 0-3 12 L
27/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 02 L
06/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-4 35 L
31/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 83 L
23/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 40 L
17/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-3 33 L
10/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 95 W
05/05 Daejeon Korail
South Korea League Cup
0-1 0-1 13 L
02/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-5 14 L

Gijang United

WWLLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-3 83 L
05/07 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea Cup
1-2 1-2 43 L
28/06 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 12 D
20/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 133 W
07/06 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 66 L
30/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-3 2-4 21 L
27/05 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-3 23 L
24/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-2 2-4 22 L
17/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 43 W
09/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seosan Pioneer vs Gijang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seosan Pioneer win (45%). Probabilities: Seosan Pioneer 45%, draw 25%, Gijang United 30%.

How many goals are expected in Seosan Pioneer vs Gijang United?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Seosan Pioneer 1.85 · Gijang United 1.49), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seosan Pioneer vs Gijang United?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.