Football · South Korea K4 League · 25/07, 10:00

Prediction: Geumsan Insam vs Seoul Jungnang FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Geumsan Insam1.63
Seoul Jungnang FC1.25
1X2
45% 26% 29%
Geumsan Insam Draw Seoul Jungnang FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Geumsan Insam 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLWDDWLW
Seoul Jungnang FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWLWLDLW
Head-to-head
Geumsan Insam 0–1–0 Seoul Jungnang FC (1 last)
  • Seoul Jungnang FC1-1Geumsan Insam
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Geumsan Insam 1516 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1473
Geumsan InsamDrawSeoul Jungnang FC
Our model45%27%28%
Market46%25%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geumsan Insam (rating 1516 vs 1473).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Geumsan InsamSeoul Jungnang FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.71.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.52.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 02.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Geumsan Insam 010 Seoul Jungnang FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC1-1
HT 0-0
Geumsan Insam

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGeumsan InsamSeoul Jungnang FC
Jecheon Citizen 2-1 W 1-2 L
Haman 3-1 W 2-1 W
Jincheon HR 2-2 D 0-0 D
Geoje Citizen FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
Sejong SA 2-3 L 1-3 L
Namyangju FC 1-1 D 1-3 L
Gijang United 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Geumsan Insam (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geumsan Insam

DLDLWDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-1 13 W
04/07 Changwon City
South Korea Cup
0-2 0-3 42 L
27/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 102 W
21/06 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-2 13 D
07/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 84 D
31/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 32 W
23/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-1 2-3 33 L
16/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 63 D
06/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 1-4 73 L
02/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 23 D

Seoul Jungnang FC

LLDWLWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 43 W
05/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea Cup
0-2 1-3 116 L
27/06 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 41 D
21/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 92 L
06/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 4-2 75 W
23/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 42 L
16/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 53 W
10/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 64 D
25/04 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 72 L
18/04 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-3 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geumsan Insam vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Geumsan Insam win (45%). Probabilities: Geumsan Insam 45%, draw 26%, Seoul Jungnang FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Geumsan Insam vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Geumsan Insam 1.63 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Geumsan Insam vs Seoul Jungnang FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.