Football · South Korea K4 League · 25/07, 09:30

Prediction: Jincheon HR vs Geoje Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Jincheon HR1.91
Geoje Citizen FC1.19
1X2
53% 24% 23%
Jincheon HR Draw Geoje Citizen FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jincheon HR 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLWDDDL
Geoje Citizen FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Jincheon HR 1–0 Geoje Citizen FC (1 last)
  • Geoje Citizen FC0-2Jincheon HR
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jincheon HR 1520 · Geoje Citizen FC 1538
Jincheon HRDrawGeoje Citizen FC
Our model53%24%23%
Market53%24%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jincheon HRGeoje Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.91.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jincheon HR 100 Geoje Citizen FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Geoje Citizen FC0-2
HT 0-0
Jincheon HR

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJincheon HRGeoje Citizen FC
Sejong SA 1-4 L 1-2 L
Namyangju FC 2-2 D 0-1 L
Geumsan Insam 2-2 D 1-2 L
Gijang United 2-0 W 4-2 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 0-1 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jincheon HR

LDWWLWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-4 24 L
04/07 Siheung City AC
South Korea Cup
1-0 1-1 71 D
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
21/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-2 103 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-1 6-2 42 W
17/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 53 W
10/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 74 D
05/05 Siheung City AC
South Korea League Cup
0-1 1-2 33 L

Geoje Citizen FC

WWDLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 Busan I Park
South Korea Cup
0-1 0-4 41 L
11/07 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-1 3-1 44 W
05/07 Incheon Seogot SM FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 4-0 W
20/06 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-2 75 L
13/06 Chuncheon FC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
1-1 2-1 23 W
07/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 94 L
31/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 52 L
27/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-0 1-1 24 D
24/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
2-1 4-2 102 W
17/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-2 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jincheon HR vs Geoje Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jincheon HR win (53%). Probabilities: Jincheon HR 53%, draw 24%, Geoje Citizen FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Jincheon HR vs Geoje Citizen FC?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Jincheon HR 1.91 · Geoje Citizen FC 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jincheon HR vs Geoje Citizen FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.