Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 09/08, 19:00

Prediction: CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán

Team pages: CS Deportivo Sacachispas · Mictlán

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.54

Mictlán1.26

1X2

42% 29% 29%

CS Deportivo Sacachispas Draw Mictlán

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Mictlán 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 0–2–4 Mictlán (6 last)

Mictlán1-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-2Mictlán
Mictlán1-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-3Mictlán
Mictlán3-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas0-0Mictlán

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1515 · Mictlán 1497

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Draw	Mictlán
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mictlán: 4-2-0.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Mictlán
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.6	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +9’	2.15	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 0–2–4 Mictlán

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
25/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-2 HT 0-1	Mictlán
09/03/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
19/01/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-3 HT 0-2	Mictlán
08/12/24 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	3-0 HT 1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
01/12/24 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	0-0 HT 0-0	Mictlán

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
2	Deportivo Fraijanes	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
3	CSD Sayaxche	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
4	CSD Chiquimulilla	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	Mictlán	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
7	CD Achuapa	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
8	AFF Guatemala	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
9	Champs Academy	2	0	0	2	2	7	0
10	San Benito FC	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W
25/07	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	9	0	W
12/04	CSD Ipala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
05/04	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/03	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	11	5	L
26/03	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
22/03	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/03	Deportivo Carcha Guatemala Primera Division	3-0	5-2	4	3	W
11/03	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	0-2	6	4	L
08/03	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Mictlán

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	11	W
26/04	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-1	12	10	D
20/04	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-1	2-3	4	7	L
17/04	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	2-2	15	7	D
12/04	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
05/04	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
02/04	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-6	2-8	2	8	L
29/03	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
21/03	CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/03	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (42%). Probabilities: CS Deportivo Sacachispas 42%, draw 29%, Mictlán 29%.

How many goals are expected in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán?

The model expects 2.81 goals (CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1.54 · Mictlán 1.26), with a 62% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.