Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 09/08, 19:00
Prediction: Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC
Team pages: Deportivo Iztapa · Chichicasteco FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Deportivo Iztapa1.92
Chichicasteco FC0.93
1X2
Deportivo Iztapa
Draw
Chichicasteco FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Iztapa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Chichicasteco FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Iztapa
0–2–0
Chichicasteco FC
(2 last)
- Deportivo Iztapa1-1Chichicasteco FC
- Chichicasteco FC0-0Deportivo Iztapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Iztapa 1551 · Chichicasteco FC 1474
| Deportivo Iztapa | Draw | Chichicasteco FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Iztapa (rating 1551 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Iztapa | Chichicasteco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.5 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 1 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Iztapa 0–2–0 Chichicasteco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo Iztapa | 1-1 | Chichicasteco FC |
| 23/04/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Chichicasteco FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Iztapa |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Iztapa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Juventud Copalera | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Huehuetecos FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Aguacatan FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CSD Amatitlan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Deportivo Gomerano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 8 | Quiche FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Chichicasteco FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Coatepeque FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Iztapa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/03 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Chimaltenango FC Guatemala Primera Division |
2-3 | 5-3 | 9 | 8 | W |
Chichicasteco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Iztapa win (60%). Probabilities: Deportivo Iztapa 60%, draw 23%, Chichicasteco FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Deportivo Iztapa 1.92 · Chichicasteco FC 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.