Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: CSD Chiquimulilla vs Mictlán
Team pages: CSD Chiquimulilla · Mictlán
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
CSD Chiquimulilla1.74
Mictlán1.18
1X2
CSD Chiquimulilla
Draw
Mictlán
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Chiquimulilla
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Mictlán
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Chiquimulilla
2–1–3
Mictlán
(6 last)
- Mictlán3-0CSD Chiquimulilla
- CSD Chiquimulilla3-2Mictlán
- CSD Chiquimulilla2-1Mictlán
- Mictlán3-1CSD Chiquimulilla
- Mictlán3-2CSD Chiquimulilla
- CSD Chiquimulilla1-1Mictlán
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Chiquimulilla 1573 · Mictlán 1490
| CSD Chiquimulilla | Draw | Mictlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Chiquimulilla (rating 1573 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Mictlán: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Chiquimulilla | Mictlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/57/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.9 | 6.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Chiquimulilla 2–1–3 Mictlán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Chiquimulilla |
| 04/05/25 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Chiquimulilla | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Mictlán |
| 13/03/25 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Chiquimulilla | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Mictlán |
| 26/01/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 3-1 HT 1-1 | CSD Chiquimulilla |
| 06/10/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 3-2 HT 0-0 | CSD Chiquimulilla |
| 22/08/24 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Chiquimulilla | 1-1 | Mictlán |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Mictlán | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | San Benito FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | AFF Guatemala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | CD Achuapa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | CSD Sayaxche | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Chiquimulilla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Carcha Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 29/03 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 26/03 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Mictlán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 26/04 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-6 | 2-8 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Mictlán?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Chiquimulilla win (48%). Probabilities: CSD Chiquimulilla 48%, draw 30%, Mictlán 23%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Mictlán?
The model expects 2.92 goals (CSD Chiquimulilla 1.74 · Mictlán 1.18), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Mictlán?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.