Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 16/08, 20:00

Prediction: Coatepeque FC vs CSD Amatitlan

Team pages: Coatepeque FC · CSD Amatitlan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Coatepeque FC1.88

CSD Amatitlan0.57

1X2

68% 23% 10%

Coatepeque FC Draw CSD Amatitlan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Coatepeque FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDLLWL

CSD Amatitlan 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Coatepeque FC 3–0 CSD Amatitlan (3 last)

Coatepeque FC2-0CSD Amatitlan
CSD Amatitlan0-3Coatepeque FC
Coatepeque FC2-1CSD Amatitlan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coatepeque FC 1497 · CSD Amatitlan 1490

	Coatepeque FC	Draw	CSD Amatitlan
Our model	68%	23%	10%
Market	68%	23%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Coatepeque FC: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coatepeque FC	CSD Amatitlan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/29/29%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.1	2.6 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.6	6.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.00

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.01 ★
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +3’	1.33	4.00	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:44 +1’	1.33	4.01	7.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Coatepeque FC 3–0–0 CSD Amatitlan

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/22 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-0 HT 0-0	CSD Amatitlan
17/10/21 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Amatitlan	0-3 HT 0-0	Coatepeque FC
06/10/21 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-1 HT 0-1	CSD Amatitlan

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Iztapa	4	2	2	0	8	5	8
2	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
3	Quiche FC	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
4	Huehuetecos FC	4	2	0	2	7	4	6
5	Aguacatan FC	4	2	0	2	4	3	6
6	Juventud Copalera	4	1	2	1	4	2	5
7	Chichicasteco FC	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
8	Deportivo Gomerano	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
9	Coatepeque FC	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
10	CSD Amatitlan	4	1	0	3	3	7	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coatepeque FC	CSD Amatitlan
Quiche FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Juventud Copalera	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Coatepeque FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Coatepeque FC

DWWWLDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
26/07	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
26/04	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-4	3	0	L
22/04	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
19/04	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/04	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	3-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/04	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
05/04	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-1	9	6	W
30/03	Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	11	D

CSD Amatitlan

DDWDDWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/07	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/04	Deportivo Tacana Guatemala Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	17	6	D
01/04	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	8	4	D
28/03	AFF Guatemala II Guatemala Segunda Division	0-0	5-0	4	8	W
25/03	Champs Academy Guatemala Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	4	10	D
22/03	CF USAC Guatemala Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coatepeque FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coatepeque FC win (68%). Probabilities: Coatepeque FC 68%, draw 23%, CSD Amatitlan 10%.

How many goals are expected in Coatepeque FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Coatepeque FC 1.88 · CSD Amatitlan 0.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Coatepeque FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.