Football · South Africa Premier · 01/08, 15:30

Prediction: Golden Arrows vs Chippa United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Golden Arrows1.47

Chippa United0.73

1X2

54% 29% 17%

Golden Arrows Draw Chippa United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Golden Arrows 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDDWDL

Chippa United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLLDLW

Head-to-head

Golden Arrows 1–3–2 Chippa United (6 last)

Chippa United0-2Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows0-0Chippa United
Golden Arrows0-0Chippa United

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows (rating 1522 vs 1466).
H2H favours Chippa United: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Golden Arrows	Chippa United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.83

Under 2.251.96

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 2.03	Pinn 2.03
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:36	2.03	3.27	3.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Golden Arrows 1–3–2 Chippa United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 South Africa Premier	Chippa United	0-2 HT 0-2	Golden Arrows
28/02/26 South Africa Premier	Golden Arrows	0-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United
05/04/25 South Africa Premier	Golden Arrows	0-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United
25/01/25 South Africa Cup	Golden Arrows	1-2 HT 0-0	Chippa United
26/10/24 South Africa Premier	Chippa United	2-0 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows
12/05/24 South Africa Premier	Golden Arrows	1-1 HT 0-1	Chippa United

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Amazulu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippa United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Durban City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaizer Chiefs	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kruger United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Golden Arrows	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Marumo Gallants	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Milford FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orlando Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polokwane City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Richards Bay FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sekhukhune United FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siwelele FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stellenbosch FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TS Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Golden Arrows	Chippa United
TS Galaxy	0-0 D	1-1 D
Polokwane City	0-0 D	1-1 D
Amazulu	1-1 D	1-5 L
Siwelele FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sekhukhune United FC	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Golden Arrows (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Golden Arrows

WLWWDDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Milford FC South Africa Cup	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
23/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
16/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
09/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
06/05	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
24/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/04	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	Durban City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
07/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-3	0-5	0	2	L
22/03	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Chippa United

DLLWDLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
09/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	Amazulu South Africa Premier	1-2	1-5	6	4	L
11/04	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
07/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
03/04	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
21/03	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
14/03	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	1-0	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Golden Arrows vs Chippa United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Golden Arrows win (54%). Probabilities: Golden Arrows 54%, draw 29%, Chippa United 17%.

How many goals are expected in Golden Arrows vs Chippa United?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Golden Arrows 1.47 · Chippa United 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Golden Arrows vs Chippa United?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.