Football · South Africa Premier · 01/08, 15:00
Prediction: Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Orlando Pirates1.73
Milford FC0.44
1X2
Orlando Pirates
Draw
Milford FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Pirates
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Milford FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates 1563 · Milford FC 1550
| Orlando Pirates | Draw | Milford FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 24% | 8% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando Pirates | Milford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Standings · South Africa Premier
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazulu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Durban City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kruger United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Golden Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milford FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polokwane City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Richards Bay FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sekhukhune United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siwelele FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stellenbosch FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TS Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Pirates
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Neom SC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Las Palmas World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Al Ittihad Jeddah World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Cadiz World Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Cordoba World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/05 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
Milford FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Golden Arrows South Africa Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Cape Town City South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | Cape Town City South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates win (70%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates 70%, draw 21%, Milford FC 10%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Orlando Pirates 1.73 · Milford FC 0.44), with a 60% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.