Football · El Salvador Apertura · 26/07, 23:00
Prediction: Fuerte San Francisco vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Fuerte San Francisco1.21
CD Platense Zacatecoluca0.76
1X2
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fuerte San Francisco
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fuerte San Francisco
1–5–0
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
(6 last)
- Fuerte San Francisco1-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca
- Fuerte San Francisco1-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca
- CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-1Fuerte San Francisco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fuerte San Francisco 1463 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1480
| Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fuerte San Francisco | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuerte San Francisco 1–5–0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 El Salvador Cup | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca |
| 15/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca |
| 09/04/26 El Salvador Cup | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 18/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 01/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca |
| 31/08/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Aguila | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Atletico Balboa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Cacahuatique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD INCA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Municipal Limeno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fuerte San Francisco | CD Platense Zacatecoluca |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza FC | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| AD Isidro Metapan | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Cacahuatique | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Platense Zacatecoluca (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 15/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 09/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/04 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 09/04 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Inter FA El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fuerte San Francisco win (47%). Probabilities: Fuerte San Francisco 47%, draw 30%, CD Platense Zacatecoluca 24%.
How many goals are expected in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Fuerte San Francisco 1.21 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0.76), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.