Football · El Salvador Apertura · 30/07, 03:00
Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · Fuerte San Francisco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
CD Luis Angel Firpo1.92
Fuerte San Francisco0.85
1X2
CD Luis Angel Firpo
Draw
Fuerte San Francisco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Luis Angel Firpo
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Fuerte San Francisco
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Luis Angel Firpo
4–2–0
Fuerte San Francisco
(6 last)
- Fuerte San Francisco0-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-4CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Luis Angel Firpo3-0Fuerte San Francisco
- CD Luis Angel Firpo1-1Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco0-0CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1530 · Fuerte San Francisco 1446
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | Draw | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1530 vs 1446).
- H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 4–2–0 Fuerte San Francisco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 08/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 19/10/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-4 HT 1-3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 17/08/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 11/05/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 08/05/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Isidro Metapan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CD Cacahuatique | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Fuerte San Francisco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | CD INCA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Municipal Limeno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Luis Angel Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| CD Aguila | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| AD Isidro Metapan | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fuerte San Francisco (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Luis Angel Firpo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | CD FAS El Salvador Super Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 10/05 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/04 | AD Batanecos El Salvador Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 18 | 4 | D |
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 15/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 09/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (62%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 62%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 16%.
How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model expects 2.77 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.92 · Fuerte San Francisco 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.