Football · El Salvador Apertura · 25/07, 23:00

Prediction: CD Cacahuatique vs AD Isidro Metapan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

CD Cacahuatique1.2

AD Isidro Metapan1.19

1X2

35% 30% 35%

CD Cacahuatique Draw AD Isidro Metapan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cacahuatique 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLDWDD

AD Isidro Metapan 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDLLLD

Head-to-head

CD Cacahuatique 0–6–0 AD Isidro Metapan (6 last)

AD Isidro Metapan1-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique1-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan0-0CD Cacahuatique

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cacahuatique 1501 · AD Isidro Metapan 1442

	CD Cacahuatique	Draw	AD Isidro Metapan
Our model	35%	30%	34%
Market	36%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Cacahuatique (rating 1501 vs 1442).
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cacahuatique	AD Isidro Metapan
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.75 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.66

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:29 +4’	2.50	3.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:24	2.70	2.79	2.61
23:16	2.75▲	2.84▲	2.66▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cacahuatique 0–6–0 AD Isidro Metapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Cacahuatique
15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-1 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
24/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	2-2 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
29/03/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
02/02/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Isidro Metapan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alianza FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Aguila	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atlético Balboa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Cacahuatique	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD FAS	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fuerte San Francisco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD INCA	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Municipal Limeno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter FA	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cacahuatique	AD Isidro Metapan
CD Hercules	0-2 L	0-3 L
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Cacahuatique (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Cacahuatique

DWDLLLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	0-1	1-1	4	12	D
07/05	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
01/05	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura	1-0	3-2	3	6	W
26/04	CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/04	CD Hercules El Salvador Cup	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/04	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
15/04	CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura	1-0	1-2	5	11	L
12/04	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/04	CD Hercules El Salvador Cup	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
05/04	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

AD Isidro Metapan

LLDWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
07/05	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
01/05	CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
26/04	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Clausura	0-2	1-3	7	8	L
22/04	Alianza FC El Salvador Cup	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
19/04	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
16/04	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
12/04	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/04	Alianza FC El Salvador Cup	0-2	1-3	7	8	L
05/04	Inter FA El Salvador Clausura	0-2	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cacahuatique vs AD Isidro Metapan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cacahuatique win (35%). Probabilities: CD Cacahuatique 35%, draw 30%, AD Isidro Metapan 35%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cacahuatique vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model expects 2.39 goals (CD Cacahuatique 1.2 · AD Isidro Metapan 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cacahuatique vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.