Football · El Salvador Apertura · 26/07, 23:00
Prediction: CD Aguila vs CD Luis Angel Firpo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
CD Aguila1.4
CD Luis Angel Firpo1.02
1X2
CD Aguila
Draw
CD Luis Angel Firpo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Luis Angel Firpo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Aguila
2–1–3
CD Luis Angel Firpo
(6 last)
- CD Luis Angel Firpo0-1CD Aguila
- CD Aguila1-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Aguila1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1511 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1526
| CD Aguila | Draw | CD Luis Angel Firpo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Aguila | CD Luis Angel Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0 | 6.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–1–3 CD Luis Angel Firpo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 13/05/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 01/05/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 08/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 14/12/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 07/12/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Aguila | 1-3 HT 0-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Aguila | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Atletico Balboa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Cacahuatique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD INCA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Municipal Limeno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 10/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | AD Izalco El Salvador Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Inter FA El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
CD Luis Angel Firpo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | CD FAS El Salvador Super Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 10/05 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/04 | AD Batanecos El Salvador Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 18 | 4 | D |
| 16/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (45%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 45%, draw 28%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 27%.
How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?
The model expects 2.42 goals (CD Aguila 1.4 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.