Football · Argentina Nacional B · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs San Martin de Tucuman
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.66Total
Nueva Chicago0.83
San Martin de Tucuman0.83
1X2
Nueva Chicago
Draw
San Martin de Tucuman
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Chicago
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
San Martin de Tucuman
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nueva Chicago
1–2–3
San Martin de Tucuman
(6 last)
- San Martin de Tucuman2-0Nueva Chicago
- San Martin de Tucuman1-1Nueva Chicago
- Nueva Chicago1-0San Martin de Tucuman
- Nueva Chicago0-0San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman3-1Nueva Chicago
- Nueva Chicago0-1San Martin de Tucuman
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1452 · San Martin de Tucuman 1487
| Nueva Chicago | Draw | San Martin de Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 37% | 31% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin de Tucuman: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Chicago | San Martin de Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 6.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 1–2–3 San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 25/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 20/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 23/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 30/08/21 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Nueva Chicago |
| 19/04/21 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 20 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nueva Chicago | San Martin de Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Almagro | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin de Tucuman (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin de Tucuman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 32%, draw 35%, San Martin de Tucuman 32%.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model expects 1.66 goals (Nueva Chicago 0.83 · San Martin de Tucuman 0.83), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.